Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-06 220.505473 248.192565 278.968203 315.888116 359.205057 408.695555 469.918189
2024-10-13 174.422827 209.532418 251.972514 307.713563 379.991002 471.950202 600.125539
2024-10-20 151.158783 189.465585 238.416471 306.818872 402.015254 533.088246 733.279300
2024-10-27 130.066954 168.053259 218.583043 292.498769 401.025131 559.920351 821.134557
2024-11-03 122.430699 162.968593 219.079589 305.039584 438.408522 646.767976 1017.885385
2024-11-10 117.008789 159.981279 221.648379 320.241277 481.386393 749.451367 1266.715935
2024-11-17 108.549349 151.557755 215.057348 320.109940 499.257813 813.278237 1462.337232
2024-11-24 99.423603 141.181951 204.275777 311.630422 501.301737 848.884092 1611.679120
2024-12-01 91.746858 132.276828 194.806976 303.970620 503.269146 884.114071 1769.609327
2024-12-08 88.334775 129.628904 194.912897 312.398867 535.494591 984.169947 2105.623083
2024-12-15 83.910884 124.970833 191.231424 313.595198 553.969316 1059.590693 2408.612992
2024-12-22 78.720308 118.656596 184.193005 307.822352 557.646801 1103.509540 2644.713936
2024-12-29 74.802080 114.274543 180.280605 307.835444 574.084656 1182.171407 3019.023378
2025-01-05 69.925448 107.962556 172.524569 299.718097 572.263528 1217.773153 3281.647513
2025-01-12 66.620481 104.076654 168.718544 298.858581 586.141180 1295.663488 3721.559080
2025-01-19 61.751163 97.175301 158.945704 285.003409 568.557794 1287.910777 3857.735641
2025-01-26 60.865292 97.158165 161.743204 297.137227 613.387882 1460.686283 4778.066177
2025-02-02 60.313978 97.677401 165.555712 311.839740 667.216236 1676.308468 6048.307832
2025-02-09 57.980783 94.816249 162.677982 311.712743 683.745785 1784.303490 6918.074647
2025-02-16 54.896272 90.396222 156.454692 303.512413 677.922757 1819.394156 7449.017069
2025-02-23 52.124880 86.406556 150.816122 296.103127 673.200387 1857.596390 8036.713973
2025-03-02 51.204296 85.818198 151.897591 304.255636 712.730140 2062.574886 9836.970129
2025-03-09 49.617688 83.872817 150.086896 305.412671 732.719556 2204.115579 11411.077670